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icon for September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

icon for September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.23-1.28 99.8%

<1.17 <1%

1.17-1.22 <1%

1.29-1.34 <1%

Polymarket

$2,454,267 ปริมาณ

1.23-1.28 99.8%

<1.17 <1%

1.17-1.22 <1%

1.29-1.34 <1%

Polymarket

$2,454,267 ปริมาณ

<1.17

$582,248 ปริมาณ

No

1.17-1.22

$482,828 ปริมาณ

No

1.23-1.28

$170,614 ปริมาณ

Yes

1.29-1.34

$225,614 ปริมาณ

No

1.35-1.40

$382,755 ปริมาณ

No

>1.40

$610,208 ปริมาณ

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.22°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.22°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.23°C (inclusive) and 1.28°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.23°C (inclusive) and 1.28°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.35°C (inclusive) and 1.40°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.35°C (inclusive) and 1.40°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of more than 1.40°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.40°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,454,267
วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 15, 2024
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2024, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No

มีการคัดค้าน

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No

มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.22°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.17°C (inclusive) and 1.22°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.23°C (inclusive) and 1.28°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.23°C (inclusive) and 1.28°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.29°C (inclusive) and 1.34°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of between 1.35°C (inclusive) and 1.40°C (inclusive) when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of between 1.35°C (inclusive) and 1.40°C (inclusive) for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of more than 1.40°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of greater than 1.40°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,454,267
วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 15, 2024
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 10, 2024, 1:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.17°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.17°C for September 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for September 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2024 is provided by NASA by January 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No

มีการคัดค้าน

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No

มีการคัดค้าน

ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 6 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "1.23-1.28" ที่ 100% ตามด้วย "<1.17" ที่ 0% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 100¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $2.5 million ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Sep 10, 2024 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" ดู 6 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" คือ "1.23-1.28" ที่ 100% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "<1.17" ที่ 0% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้