Trader consensus shows a fragmented race for second place in Text Arena Math rankings by end of October, with multiple options at 50% implied probability and established leaders like OpenAI at 38.5% and Anthropic at 34.0%. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent large language model releases that have narrowed gaps in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where factors such as training data quality, inference scaling, and specialized fine-tuning determine edge over rivals. No single lab has pulled ahead decisively amid ongoing releases and capability demonstrations, leaving room for swings from new model updates or third-party evaluations before the resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 38%
Anthropic 32%
Google 18%
Alibaba 5%
$50,689 ปริมาณ
$50,689 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
38%
Anthropic
32%
18%
Alibaba
5%
Baidu
3%
Moonshot
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 38%
Anthropic 32%
Google 18%
Alibaba 5%
$50,689 ปริมาณ
$50,689 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$3,778 ปริมาณ
38%
Anthropic
$4,130 ปริมาณ
32%
$32,182 ปริมาณ
18%
Alibaba
$1,311 ปริมาณ
5%
Baidu
$567 ปริมาณ
3%
Moonshot
$561 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$659 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$596 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$557 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$538 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$571 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$889 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$606 ปริมาณ
1%
StepFun
$591 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$588 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$737 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$521 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$370 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$336 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus shows a fragmented race for second place in Text Arena Math rankings by end of October, with multiple options at 50% implied probability and established leaders like OpenAI at 38.5% and Anthropic at 34.0%. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent large language model releases that have narrowed gaps in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where factors such as training data quality, inference scaling, and specialized fine-tuning determine edge over rivals. No single lab has pulled ahead decisively amid ongoing releases and capability demonstrations, leaving room for swings from new model updates or third-party evaluations before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,689วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus shows a fragmented race for second place in Text Arena Math rankings by end of October, with multiple options at 50% implied probability and established leaders like OpenAI at 38.5% and Anthropic at 34.0%. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent large language model releases that have narrowed gaps in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where factors such as training data quality, inference scaling, and specialized fine-tuning determine edge over rivals. No single lab has pulled ahead decisively amid ongoing releases and capability demonstrations, leaving room for swings from new model updates or third-party evaluations before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,689วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows a fragmented race for second place in Text Arena Math rankings by end of October, with multiple options at 50% implied probability and established leaders like OpenAI at 38.5% and Anthropic at 34.0%. Competitive dynamics hinge on recent large language model releases that have narrowed gaps in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where factors such as training data quality, inference scaling, and specialized fine-tuning determine edge over rivals. No single lab has pulled ahead decisively amid ongoing releases and capability demonstrations, leaving room for swings from new model updates or third-party evaluations before the resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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