United Russia’s entrenched institutional advantages, including centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, and favorable ballot positioning in over half of regions holding legislative contests, underpin the 63.5% trader consensus that the party will lead party-list voting in every region during the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections. Recent party congress preparations and nominations across all single-member districts have reinforced this positioning, while national polls from pro-government sources show the party ahead of rivals by wide margins despite some regional variation. Historical patterns of defending majorities in nearly all assemblies, combined with procedural controls on opposition registration, support expectations of broad success, though limited exceptions such as Altai Krai remain possible factors that could influence final outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
64% โอกาส
$314,858 ปริมาณ
$314,858 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
64% โอกาส
$314,858 ปริมาณ
$314,858 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s entrenched institutional advantages, including centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, and favorable ballot positioning in over half of regions holding legislative contests, underpin the 63.5% trader consensus that the party will lead party-list voting in every region during the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections. Recent party congress preparations and nominations across all single-member districts have reinforced this positioning, while national polls from pro-government sources show the party ahead of rivals by wide margins despite some regional variation. Historical patterns of defending majorities in nearly all assemblies, combined with procedural controls on opposition registration, support expectations of broad success, though limited exceptions such as Altai Krai remain possible factors that could influence final outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$314,858วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s entrenched institutional advantages, including centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, and favorable ballot positioning in over half of regions holding legislative contests, underpin the 63.5% trader consensus that the party will lead party-list voting in every region during the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections. Recent party congress preparations and nominations across all single-member districts have reinforced this positioning, while national polls from pro-government sources show the party ahead of rivals by wide margins despite some regional variation. Historical patterns of defending majorities in nearly all assemblies, combined with procedural controls on opposition registration, support expectations of broad success, though limited exceptions such as Altai Krai remain possible factors that could influence final outcomes.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$314,858วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...United Russia’s entrenched institutional advantages, including centralized candidate selection, administrative resources, and favorable ballot positioning in over half of regions holding legislative contests, underpin the 63.5% trader consensus that the party will lead party-list voting in every region during the September 2026 State Duma and regional elections. Recent party congress preparations and nominations across all single-member districts have reinforced this positioning, while national polls from pro-government sources show the party ahead of rivals by wide margins despite some regional variation. Historical patterns of defending majorities in nearly all assemblies, combined with procedural controls on opposition registration, support expectations of broad success, though limited exceptions such as Altai Krai remain possible factors that could influence final outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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