Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96% implied probability. His position stems from a decisive 60.87% win in the June 2026 supplementary election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, and consistent polling advantages of roughly 60% to 27% over main rival Soldado Sampaio ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent developments, including his PL nomination and alliances, have reinforced momentum despite the unresolved sub judice status of his supplementary candidacy tied to desincompatibilização timing under Lei Complementar 64/1990. Key variables that could still alter outcomes include final TSE rulings on eligibility, turnout shifts in the small electorate, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArthur Henrique 96.0%
Soldado Sampaio 2.9%
Rosi Aires 2.1%
Farah Mesquita 1.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Arthur Henrique
96%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Rosi Aires
2%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Clébio Genuíno
1%
Arthur Henrique 96.0%
Soldado Sampaio 2.9%
Rosi Aires 2.1%
Farah Mesquita 1.8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Arthur Henrique
$5,735 ปริมาณ
96%
Soldado Sampaio
$209 ปริมาณ
3%
Rosi Aires
$257 ปริมาณ
2%
Farah Mesquita
$203 ปริมาณ
2%
Clébio Genuíno
$360 ปริมาณ
1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96% implied probability. His position stems from a decisive 60.87% win in the June 2026 supplementary election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, and consistent polling advantages of roughly 60% to 27% over main rival Soldado Sampaio ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent developments, including his PL nomination and alliances, have reinforced momentum despite the unresolved sub judice status of his supplementary candidacy tied to desincompatibilização timing under Lei Complementar 64/1990. Key variables that could still alter outcomes include final TSE rulings on eligibility, turnout shifts in the small electorate, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,764วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96% implied probability. His position stems from a decisive 60.87% win in the June 2026 supplementary election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, and consistent polling advantages of roughly 60% to 27% over main rival Soldado Sampaio ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent developments, including his PL nomination and alliances, have reinforced momentum despite the unresolved sub judice status of his supplementary candidacy tied to desincompatibilização timing under Lei Complementar 64/1990. Key variables that could still alter outcomes include final TSE rulings on eligibility, turnout shifts in the small electorate, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,764วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique maintains a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus near 96% implied probability. His position stems from a decisive 60.87% win in the June 2026 supplementary election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition as former Boa Vista mayor, and consistent polling advantages of roughly 60% to 27% over main rival Soldado Sampaio ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent developments, including his PL nomination and alliances, have reinforced momentum despite the unresolved sub judice status of his supplementary candidacy tied to desincompatibilização timing under Lei Complementar 64/1990. Key variables that could still alter outcomes include final TSE rulings on eligibility, turnout shifts in the small electorate, or late campaign developments before the October runoff window if needed.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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