The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
American Doctor 22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 14%
One in a Million 7%
Musk 5.1%
$22,094 ปริมาณ
$22,094 ปริมาณ
Mar 14, 2027
American Doctor
22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
14%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
5%
Tutu
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
3%
American Doctor 22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 14%
One in a Million 7%
Musk 5.1%
$22,094 ปริมาณ
$22,094 ปริมาณ
Mar 14, 2027
American Doctor
$10,666 ปริมาณ
22%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
$927 ปริมาณ
14%
One in a Million
$1,994 ปริมาณ
7%
Musk
$39 ปริมาณ
5%
Tutu
$692 ปริมาณ
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
$131 ปริมาณ
4%
Nuisance Bear
$7,644 ปริมาณ
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,094วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 14, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,094วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 14, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2027 Best Documentary Feature race remains exceptionally wide open this early in the cycle, with "Other" commanding 50% implied probability on Polymarket and no title exceeding low double digits. American Doctor holds the clearest early edge at 19.5% thanks to its Sundance premiere, subsequent festival awards, timely Gaza subject matter, and Watermelon Pictures acquisition, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem, Nuisance Bear, One in a Million, and Musk sit in the mid-single digits on the strength of their own festival buzz and distributor backing. Historical patterns show documentary voters typically wait for fall festival premieres at Venice, Telluride, and TIFF, plus guild and critics' precursors, before coalescing, leaving substantial room for momentum shifts among the broad field ahead of January nominations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย