New York’s 26th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preference in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy won the seat in 2024 with more than 65 percent of the vote and faces only a nominal Republican primary challenger ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries and November general election. This structural advantage, combined with limited opposition fundraising and organizational resources, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A major national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-26 House Election Winner
NY-26 House Election Winner
$24,405 ปริมาณ
$24,405 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$24,405 ปริมาณ
$24,405 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,910 ปริมาณ
91%
Republican Party
$11,495 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 26th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preference in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy won the seat in 2024 with more than 65 percent of the vote and faces only a nominal Republican primary challenger ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries and November general election. This structural advantage, combined with limited opposition fundraising and organizational resources, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A major national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,405วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 26th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preference in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy won the seat in 2024 with more than 65 percent of the vote and faces only a nominal Republican primary challenger ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries and November general election. This structural advantage, combined with limited opposition fundraising and organizational resources, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A major national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,405วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 26th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preference in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Tim Kennedy won the seat in 2024 with more than 65 percent of the vote and faces only a nominal Republican primary challenger ahead of the June 23, 2026, primaries and November general election. This structural advantage, combined with limited opposition fundraising and organizational resources, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A major national political shift, unforeseen scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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