New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces limited Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 midterm, with party ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 23 Democratic primary remains the decisive contest, where Espaillat holds a lead in available polling against challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent incorporates this structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party competition. A major scandal affecting the eventual nominee or an unforeseen primary outcome producing a significantly weaker candidate represent the primary pathways that could narrow the margin before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$32,464 ปริมาณ
$32,464 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
5%
$32,464 ปริมาณ
$32,464 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,422 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$12,042 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces limited Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 midterm, with party ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 23 Democratic primary remains the decisive contest, where Espaillat holds a lead in available polling against challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent incorporates this structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party competition. A major scandal affecting the eventual nominee or an unforeseen primary outcome producing a significantly weaker candidate represent the primary pathways that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,464วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces limited Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 midterm, with party ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 23 Democratic primary remains the decisive contest, where Espaillat holds a lead in available polling against challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent incorporates this structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party competition. A major scandal affecting the eventual nominee or an unforeseen primary outcome producing a significantly weaker candidate represent the primary pathways that could narrow the margin before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,464วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+32 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general-election margins exceeding 60 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces limited Republican opposition ahead of the November 2026 midterm, with party ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The June 23 Democratic primary remains the decisive contest, where Espaillat holds a lead in available polling against challengers. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 95 percent incorporates this structural advantage and the absence of credible cross-party competition. A major scandal affecting the eventual nominee or an unforeseen primary outcome producing a significantly weaker candidate represent the primary pathways that could narrow the margin before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย