Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 60% implied probability to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead in recent Saint Anselm and WMUR surveys, bolstered by family name recognition from Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and new endorsements from Portsmouth leaders. Maura Sullivan trails closely at 43.5%, supported by dominant first-quarter fundraising exceeding rivals and her Marine veteran credentials plus Obama administration experience, positioning her as a general election contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas' Senate bid. Heath Howard at 41.6% gains progressive momentum via recent pro-Palestinian advocacy and forums, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7%; upcoming candidate debates could shift dynamics in this competitive multicandidate field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Stefany Shaheen 59%
Maura Sullivan 23%
Carleigh Beriont 7%
Heath Howard 0
$14,034 ปริมาณ
$14,034 ปริมาณ
Stefany Shaheen
59%
Maura Sullivan
43%
Carleigh Beriont
7%
Heath Howard
41%
Stefany Shaheen 59%
Maura Sullivan 23%
Carleigh Beriont 7%
Heath Howard 0
$14,034 ปริมาณ
$14,034 ปริมาณ
Stefany Shaheen
59%
Maura Sullivan
43%
Carleigh Beriont
7%
Heath Howard
41%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 60% implied probability to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead in recent Saint Anselm and WMUR surveys, bolstered by family name recognition from Sen. Jeanne Shaheen and new endorsements from Portsmouth leaders. Maura Sullivan trails closely at 43.5%, supported by dominant first-quarter fundraising exceeding rivals and her Marine veteran credentials plus Obama administration experience, positioning her as a general election contender in the open seat vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas' Senate bid. Heath Howard at 41.6% gains progressive momentum via recent pro-Palestinian advocacy and forums, while Carleigh Beriont lags at 7%; upcoming candidate debates could shift dynamics in this competitive multicandidate field.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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