Andris Kulbergs holds a commanding position in the market following his United List party's decisive victory in the October 3 parliamentary election, where it captured roughly 35-36% of the vote and 41-42 seats in the Saeima—the strongest result for any single list since Latvia regained independence. This outcome followed his appointment as caretaker prime minister in May after the prior coalition collapsed amid security concerns over drone incidents and shifting alliances. President Edgars Rinkēvičs has directed Kulbergs to form the next government, with coalition negotiations expected to prioritize continuity through partners such as the National Alliance and New Unity. While a majority remains necessary and talks could introduce delays or adjustments, the scale of the electoral result and Kulbergs' established role make alternative candidates unlikely to prevail absent major unforeseen developments in the coming weeks.