Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no new MLB CBA by the December 1, 2026, expiration, with "No" at 57.5% implied probability, driven by entrenched positions on a salary cap and floor that owners seek and the MLBPA firmly opposes. MLBPA executive director Bruce Meyer declared a lockout "almost guaranteed" after the 2026 season in mid-March, amid both sides stockpiling war chests—union assets at $415 million as of late March and MLB reportedly holding billions—for prolonged negotiations. No formal talks have materialized despite expectations for a post-Opening Day start, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout, while aggressive front-loaded free agent deals like the Cubs' PCA extension signal teams hedging against post-deadline uncertainty and revenue sharing reforms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
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Dec 1, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no new MLB CBA by the December 1, 2026, expiration, with "No" at 57.5% implied probability, driven by entrenched positions on a salary cap and floor that owners seek and the MLBPA firmly opposes. MLBPA executive director Bruce Meyer declared a lockout "almost guaranteed" after the 2026 season in mid-March, amid both sides stockpiling war chests—union assets at $415 million as of late March and MLB reportedly holding billions—for prolonged negotiations. No formal talks have materialized despite expectations for a post-Opening Day start, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout, while aggressive front-loaded free agent deals like the Cubs' PCA extension signal teams hedging against post-deadline uncertainty and revenue sharing reforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,172วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no new MLB CBA by the December 1, 2026, expiration, with "No" at 57.5% implied probability, driven by entrenched positions on a salary cap and floor that owners seek and the MLBPA firmly opposes. MLBPA executive director Bruce Meyer declared a lockout "almost guaranteed" after the 2026 season in mid-March, amid both sides stockpiling war chests—union assets at $415 million as of late March and MLB reportedly holding billions—for prolonged negotiations. No formal talks have materialized despite expectations for a post-Opening Day start, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout, while aggressive front-loaded free agent deals like the Cubs' PCA extension signal teams hedging against post-deadline uncertainty and revenue sharing reforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,172วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward no new MLB CBA by the December 1, 2026, expiration, with "No" at 57.5% implied probability, driven by entrenched positions on a salary cap and floor that owners seek and the MLBPA firmly opposes. MLBPA executive director Bruce Meyer declared a lockout "almost guaranteed" after the 2026 season in mid-March, amid both sides stockpiling war chests—union assets at $415 million as of late March and MLB reportedly holding billions—for prolonged negotiations. No formal talks have materialized despite expectations for a post-Opening Day start, echoing the 99-day 2022 lockout, while aggressive front-loaded free agent deals like the Cubs' PCA extension signal teams hedging against post-deadline uncertainty and revenue sharing reforms.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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