Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 surpassing $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 63% odds above $24,000, anchored by the index's current level near 26,600 amid 5.6% year-to-date gains through mid-April. Sustained AI capital expenditures and robust Q1 earnings from Magnificent Seven constituents have propelled recent advances, offsetting volatility from persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. Cooling labor market data supports expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst potentially refining the 2026 rate path via updated dot plots. Upcoming Q2 earnings and Treasury yield movements remain pivotal swing factors for higher thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) above ___ end of 2026?
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
>$38,000
25%
>$33,000
7%
>$30,000
16%
>$27,000
40%
>$24,000
54%
>$19,000
88%
$8,037 ปริมาณ
>$38,000
$1,459 ปริมาณ
25%
>$33,000
$1,650 ปริมาณ
7%
>$30,000
$770 ปริมาณ
16%
>$27,000
$1,302 ปริมาณ
40%
>$24,000
$1,457 ปริมาณ
54%
>$19,000
$1,398 ปริมาณ
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 surpassing $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 63% odds above $24,000, anchored by the index's current level near 26,600 amid 5.6% year-to-date gains through mid-April. Sustained AI capital expenditures and robust Q1 earnings from Magnificent Seven constituents have propelled recent advances, offsetting volatility from persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. Cooling labor market data supports expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst potentially refining the 2026 rate path via updated dot plots. Upcoming Q2 earnings and Treasury yield movements remain pivotal swing factors for higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,037วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 surpassing $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 63% odds above $24,000, anchored by the index's current level near 26,600 amid 5.6% year-to-date gains through mid-April. Sustained AI capital expenditures and robust Q1 earnings from Magnificent Seven constituents have propelled recent advances, offsetting volatility from persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. Cooling labor market data supports expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst potentially refining the 2026 rate path via updated dot plots. Upcoming Q2 earnings and Treasury yield movements remain pivotal swing factors for higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,037วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for the Nasdaq 100 surpassing $19,000 by December 31, 2026, with 63% odds above $24,000, anchored by the index's current level near 26,600 amid 5.6% year-to-date gains through mid-April. Sustained AI capital expenditures and robust Q1 earnings from Magnificent Seven constituents have propelled recent advances, offsetting volatility from persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions. Cooling labor market data supports expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the key near-term catalyst potentially refining the 2026 rate path via updated dot plots. Upcoming Q2 earnings and Treasury yield movements remain pivotal swing factors for higher thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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