North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where recent redistricting has preserved a heavy left-leaning electorate across Durham, Orange, and parts of Wake counties. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against progressive challenger Nida Allam, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of a well-funded Republican contender. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed districts where incumbency and partisan composition provide durable structural edges. A major national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$12,225 ปริมาณ
$12,225 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,225 ปริมาณ
$12,225 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,607 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$4,618 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where recent redistricting has preserved a heavy left-leaning electorate across Durham, Orange, and parts of Wake counties. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against progressive challenger Nida Allam, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of a well-funded Republican contender. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed districts where incumbency and partisan composition provide durable structural edges. A major national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,225วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where recent redistricting has preserved a heavy left-leaning electorate across Durham, Orange, and parts of Wake counties. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against progressive challenger Nida Allam, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of a well-funded Republican contender. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed districts where incumbency and partisan composition provide durable structural edges. A major national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,225วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, where recent redistricting has preserved a heavy left-leaning electorate across Durham, Orange, and parts of Wake counties. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary against progressive challenger Nida Allam, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting the district's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in recent cycles and the absence of a well-funded Republican contender. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical patterns in similarly composed districts where incumbency and partisan composition provide durable structural edges. A major national Republican surge or unforeseen local scandal could narrow the margin, though such shifts have limited precedent in this area.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย