Iran's political transition following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes led the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through a unanimous vote. This rapid consolidation around a figure with longstanding ties to the IRGC and hardline clerical networks has shaped trader assessments amid the ongoing regional conflict. Mojtaba Khamenei has issued public statements vowing continued resistance and addressed Gulf security issues, including management of the Strait of Hormuz, as recently as late April. Reports of limited public appearances and possible injury have fueled discussion of security arrangements, while constitutional procedures for leadership selection and wartime pressures remain key factors influencing any movement or succession dynamics within the resolution timeframe.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,225,049 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
3%
$1,225,049 ปริมาณ
May 31
$148,461 ปริมาณ
1%
June 30
$104,979 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political transition following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes led the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through a unanimous vote. This rapid consolidation around a figure with longstanding ties to the IRGC and hardline clerical networks has shaped trader assessments amid the ongoing regional conflict. Mojtaba Khamenei has issued public statements vowing continued resistance and addressed Gulf security issues, including management of the Strait of Hormuz, as recently as late April. Reports of limited public appearances and possible injury have fueled discussion of security arrangements, while constitutional procedures for leadership selection and wartime pressures remain key factors influencing any movement or succession dynamics within the resolution timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,225,049วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political transition following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes led the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through a unanimous vote. This rapid consolidation around a figure with longstanding ties to the IRGC and hardline clerical networks has shaped trader assessments amid the ongoing regional conflict. Mojtaba Khamenei has issued public statements vowing continued resistance and addressed Gulf security issues, including management of the Strait of Hormuz, as recently as late April. Reports of limited public appearances and possible injury have fueled discussion of security arrangements, while constitutional procedures for leadership selection and wartime pressures remain key factors influencing any movement or succession dynamics within the resolution timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,225,049วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 4:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's political transition following the February 2026 assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in U.S.-Israeli strikes led the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March through a unanimous vote. This rapid consolidation around a figure with longstanding ties to the IRGC and hardline clerical networks has shaped trader assessments amid the ongoing regional conflict. Mojtaba Khamenei has issued public statements vowing continued resistance and addressed Gulf security issues, including management of the Strait of Hormuz, as recently as late April. Reports of limited public appearances and possible injury have fueled discussion of security arrangements, while constitutional procedures for leadership selection and wartime pressures remain key factors influencing any movement or succession dynamics within the resolution timeframe.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย