Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her established position as the sitting representative since 2019, strong fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in 2025, trails at 9% amid limited campaign resources and no comparable party backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le remain marginal in trader assessments. The August 11, 2026, primary date leaves room for late shifts, though Omar's consistent primary performance and institutional support anchor current market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$26,085 ปริมาณ
$26,085 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
89%
Latonya Reeves
9%
$26,085 ปริมาณ
$26,085 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$20,799 ปริมาณ
89%
Latonya Reeves
$5,286 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her established position as the sitting representative since 2019, strong fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in 2025, trails at 9% amid limited campaign resources and no comparable party backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le remain marginal in trader assessments. The August 11, 2026, primary date leaves room for late shifts, though Omar's consistent primary performance and institutional support anchor current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,085วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her established position as the sitting representative since 2019, strong fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in 2025, trails at 9% amid limited campaign resources and no comparable party backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le remain marginal in trader assessments. The August 11, 2026, primary date leaves room for late shifts, though Omar's consistent primary performance and institutional support anchor current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,085วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her established position as the sitting representative since 2019, strong fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in 2025, trails at 9% amid limited campaign resources and no comparable party backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le remain marginal in trader assessments. The August 11, 2026, primary date leaves room for late shifts, though Omar's consistent primary performance and institutional support anchor current market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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