Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her established position as the sitting representative since 2019, strong fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in 2025, trails at 9% amid limited campaign resources and no comparable party backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le remain marginal in trader assessments. The August 11, 2026, primary date leaves room for late shifts, though Omar's consistent primary performance and institutional support anchor current market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$26,085 ปริมาณ
$26,085 ปริมาณ
Ilhan Omar
89%
Latonya Reeves
9%
$26,085 ปริมาณ
$26,085 ปริมาณ
Ilhan Omar
89%
Latonya Reeves
9%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her established position as the sitting representative since 2019, strong fundraising advantage exceeding $5 million, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in 2025, trails at 9% amid limited campaign resources and no comparable party backing. Other declared candidates including Julie Le remain marginal in trader assessments. The August 11, 2026, primary date leaves room for late shifts, though Omar's consistent primary performance and institutional support anchor current market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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