**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 84% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary stems from her securing the DFL endorsement by acclamation at the May 9 district convention, a pivotal boost in Minnesota's party-driven primaries.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and local labor leader who launched her bid last November, withdrew from endorsement contention during her speech but pledged to proceed to the August 11 ballot, holding steady at 15% trader consensus. Omar's track record of fending off well-funded opponents in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, combined with the fresh party backing, underpins her frontrunner status amid no recent polls or scandals shifting sentiment, though low-turnout primaries can amplify turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$24,306 ปริมาณ
$24,306 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
84%
Latonya Reeves
15%
$24,306 ปริมาณ
$24,306 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$20,096 ปริมาณ
84%
Latonya Reeves
$4,210 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 84% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary stems from her securing the DFL endorsement by acclamation at the May 9 district convention, a pivotal boost in Minnesota's party-driven primaries.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and local labor leader who launched her bid last November, withdrew from endorsement contention during her speech but pledged to proceed to the August 11 ballot, holding steady at 15% trader consensus. Omar's track record of fending off well-funded opponents in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, combined with the fresh party backing, underpins her frontrunner status amid no recent polls or scandals shifting sentiment, though low-turnout primaries can amplify turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,306วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 84% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary stems from her securing the DFL endorsement by acclamation at the May 9 district convention, a pivotal boost in Minnesota's party-driven primaries.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and local labor leader who launched her bid last November, withdrew from endorsement contention during her speech but pledged to proceed to the August 11 ballot, holding steady at 15% trader consensus. Omar's track record of fending off well-funded opponents in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, combined with the fresh party backing, underpins her frontrunner status amid no recent polls or scandals shifting sentiment, though low-turnout primaries can amplify turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,306วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's commanding 84% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary stems from her securing the DFL endorsement by acclamation at the May 9 district convention, a pivotal boost in Minnesota's party-driven primaries.** Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and local labor leader who launched her bid last November, withdrew from endorsement contention during her speech but pledged to proceed to the August 11 ballot, holding steady at 15% trader consensus. Omar's track record of fending off well-funded opponents in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, combined with the fresh party backing, underpins her frontrunner status amid no recent polls or scandals shifting sentiment, though low-turnout primaries can amplify turnout dynamics among key voting blocs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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