Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds strong trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent unanimous DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention over the May 9-10 weekend, after challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from endorsement contention but pledged to continue to the primary ballot. Omar's position reflects her incumbency advantage, comfortable 2024 primary victory following a narrower 2022 race, and success in consolidating key party supporters amid earlier challengers bowing out. Reeves, a local DFL leader and DNC member, trails at 13.5% amid steep historical odds for primarying endorsed incumbents, with no recent polls shifting sentiment; upcoming debates or fundraising reports could influence the closely watched matchup in this deep-blue district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$24,013 ปริมาณ
$24,013 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
87%
Latonya Reeves
15%
$24,013 ปริมาณ
$24,013 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$19,803 ปริมาณ
87%
Latonya Reeves
$4,210 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds strong trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent unanimous DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention over the May 9-10 weekend, after challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from endorsement contention but pledged to continue to the primary ballot. Omar's position reflects her incumbency advantage, comfortable 2024 primary victory following a narrower 2022 race, and success in consolidating key party supporters amid earlier challengers bowing out. Reeves, a local DFL leader and DNC member, trails at 13.5% amid steep historical odds for primarying endorsed incumbents, with no recent polls shifting sentiment; upcoming debates or fundraising reports could influence the closely watched matchup in this deep-blue district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,013วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds strong trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent unanimous DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention over the May 9-10 weekend, after challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from endorsement contention but pledged to continue to the primary ballot. Omar's position reflects her incumbency advantage, comfortable 2024 primary victory following a narrower 2022 race, and success in consolidating key party supporters amid earlier challengers bowing out. Reeves, a local DFL leader and DNC member, trails at 13.5% amid steep historical odds for primarying endorsed incumbents, with no recent polls shifting sentiment; upcoming debates or fundraising reports could influence the closely watched matchup in this deep-blue district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,013วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds strong trader consensus at 86% implied probability to win Minnesota's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 11, bolstered by her recent unanimous DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention over the May 9-10 weekend, after challenger Latonya Reeves withdrew her name from endorsement contention but pledged to continue to the primary ballot. Omar's position reflects her incumbency advantage, comfortable 2024 primary victory following a narrower 2022 race, and success in consolidating key party supporters amid earlier challengers bowing out. Reeves, a local DFL leader and DNC member, trails at 13.5% amid steep historical odds for primarying endorsed incumbents, with no recent polls shifting sentiment; upcoming debates or fundraising reports could influence the closely watched matchup in this deep-blue district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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