Microsoft’s current ~$3.71 trillion market cap reflects a stock trading near $500 amid balanced trader sentiment across end-2026 brackets. Heavy fiscal 2026 capital expenditures exceeding $115 billion, with calendar 2026 guidance near $175 billion, have compressed free cash flow and weighed on multiples despite revenue rising 18% to $332 billion and Azure growth accelerating to 43% in Q4. Offsetting this, commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion and Microsoft 365 Copilot seats exceeded 30 million, supporting analyst price targets clustered around $550–610. With only four months until resolution, near-term earnings, Azure guidance, and any moderation in AI infrastructure spend will determine whether the market cap settles in the $3.5–4.5 trillion range or extends higher on sustained 40%+ cloud momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50T
-
$2.50-$3.00T
-
$3.00-$3.50T
-
$3.50-$4.00T
-
$4.00-$4.50T
-
$4.50-$5.00T
-
$5.00T+
-
<$2.50T 0
$2.50-$3.00T 0
$3.00-$3.50T 0
$3.50-$4.00T 0
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50T
$0 ปริมาณ
-
$2.50-$3.00T
$0 ปริมาณ
-
$3.00-$3.50T
$0 ปริมาณ
-
$3.50-$4.00T
$0 ปริมาณ
-
$4.00-$4.50T
$0 ปริมาณ
-
$4.50-$5.00T
$0 ปริมาณ
-
$5.00T+
$0 ปริมาณ
-
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current ~$3.71 trillion market cap reflects a stock trading near $500 amid balanced trader sentiment across end-2026 brackets. Heavy fiscal 2026 capital expenditures exceeding $115 billion, with calendar 2026 guidance near $175 billion, have compressed free cash flow and weighed on multiples despite revenue rising 18% to $332 billion and Azure growth accelerating to 43% in Q4. Offsetting this, commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion and Microsoft 365 Copilot seats exceeded 30 million, supporting analyst price targets clustered around $550–610. With only four months until resolution, near-term earnings, Azure guidance, and any moderation in AI infrastructure spend will determine whether the market cap settles in the $3.5–4.5 trillion range or extends higher on sustained 40%+ cloud momentum.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Microsoft’s current ~$3.71 trillion market cap reflects a stock trading near $500 amid balanced trader sentiment across end-2026 brackets. Heavy fiscal 2026 capital expenditures exceeding $115 billion, with calendar 2026 guidance near $175 billion, have compressed free cash flow and weighed on multiples despite revenue rising 18% to $332 billion and Azure growth accelerating to 43% in Q4. Offsetting this, commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion and Microsoft 365 Copilot seats exceeded 30 million, supporting analyst price targets clustered around $550–610. With only four months until resolution, near-term earnings, Azure guidance, and any moderation in AI infrastructure spend will determine whether the market cap settles in the $3.5–4.5 trillion range or extends higher on sustained 40%+ cloud momentum.
This market will resolve according to Microsoft's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 7:49 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Microsoft’s current ~$3.71 trillion market cap reflects a stock trading near $500 amid balanced trader sentiment across end-2026 brackets. Heavy fiscal 2026 capital expenditures exceeding $115 billion, with calendar 2026 guidance near $175 billion, have compressed free cash flow and weighed on multiples despite revenue rising 18% to $332 billion and Azure growth accelerating to 43% in Q4. Offsetting this, commercial remaining performance obligations reached $678 billion and Microsoft 365 Copilot seats exceeded 30 million, supporting analyst price targets clustered around $550–610. With only four months until resolution, near-term earnings, Azure guidance, and any moderation in AI infrastructure spend will determine whether the market cap settles in the $3.5–4.5 trillion range or extends higher on sustained 40%+ cloud momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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