Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican John James' departure for the 2026 gubernatorial race, creating an open battleground in the R+3 leaning Macomb County suburbs. Recent Q1 fundraising reports through mid-April highlighted Democrat Eric Chung's lead with $335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand, positioning him as the primary frontrunner amid a crowded five-candidate Democratic field, while Republicans Michael Bouchard ($427,000 Q1, $847,000 cash) and Robert Lulgjuraj compete closely in their eight-person primary. The April 21 filing deadline solidified competitive fields ahead of the August 4 primaries, with traders betting on midterm dynamics favoring opposition gains under a Republican presidency despite Cook's Lean R rating and limited recent polling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-10 House Election Winner
MI-10 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
80%
Republican Party
22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$669 ปริมาณ
80%
Republican Party
$212 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican John James' departure for the 2026 gubernatorial race, creating an open battleground in the R+3 leaning Macomb County suburbs. Recent Q1 fundraising reports through mid-April highlighted Democrat Eric Chung's lead with $335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand, positioning him as the primary frontrunner amid a crowded five-candidate Democratic field, while Republicans Michael Bouchard ($427,000 Q1, $847,000 cash) and Robert Lulgjuraj compete closely in their eight-person primary. The April 21 filing deadline solidified competitive fields ahead of the August 4 primaries, with traders betting on midterm dynamics favoring opposition gains under a Republican presidency despite Cook's Lean R rating and limited recent polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$882วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican John James' departure for the 2026 gubernatorial race, creating an open battleground in the R+3 leaning Macomb County suburbs. Recent Q1 fundraising reports through mid-April highlighted Democrat Eric Chung's lead with $335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand, positioning him as the primary frontrunner amid a crowded five-candidate Democratic field, while Republicans Michael Bouchard ($427,000 Q1, $847,000 cash) and Robert Lulgjuraj compete closely in their eight-person primary. The April 21 filing deadline solidified competitive fields ahead of the August 4 primaries, with traders betting on midterm dynamics favoring opposition gains under a Republican presidency despite Cook's Lean R rating and limited recent polling.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$882วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District House seat following incumbent Republican John James' departure for the 2026 gubernatorial race, creating an open battleground in the R+3 leaning Macomb County suburbs. Recent Q1 fundraising reports through mid-April highlighted Democrat Eric Chung's lead with $335,700 raised and $930,500 cash on hand, positioning him as the primary frontrunner amid a crowded five-candidate Democratic field, while Republicans Michael Bouchard ($427,000 Q1, $847,000 cash) and Robert Lulgjuraj compete closely in their eight-person primary. The April 21 filing deadline solidified competitive fields ahead of the August 4 primaries, with traders betting on midterm dynamics favoring opposition gains under a Republican presidency despite Cook's Lean R rating and limited recent polling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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