Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid anchors the Republican advantage in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+3 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat in over seven decades. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey showing Huizenga ahead 48-42, reflects a narrower margin than his 2024 double-digit victory and underscores Democratic competitiveness. State Sen. Sean McCann leads the Democratic primary field set for August 4 and has secured endorsements such as from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, while both parties’ nominees face the general election on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with the current 60.5% Republican implied probability in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
46%
Democratic Party
46%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$344 ปริมาณ
46%
Democratic Party
$511 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid anchors the Republican advantage in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+3 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat in over seven decades. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey showing Huizenga ahead 48-42, reflects a narrower margin than his 2024 double-digit victory and underscores Democratic competitiveness. State Sen. Sean McCann leads the Democratic primary field set for August 4 and has secured endorsements such as from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, while both parties’ nominees face the general election on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with the current 60.5% Republican implied probability in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$855วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid anchors the Republican advantage in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+3 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat in over seven decades. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey showing Huizenga ahead 48-42, reflects a narrower margin than his 2024 double-digit victory and underscores Democratic competitiveness. State Sen. Sean McCann leads the Democratic primary field set for August 4 and has secured endorsements such as from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, while both parties’ nominees face the general election on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with the current 60.5% Republican implied probability in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$855วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga’s reelection bid anchors the Republican advantage in Michigan’s 4th congressional district, where the seat carries an R+3 Partisan Voter Index and has not elected a Democrat in over seven decades. Recent polling, including a March 2026 survey showing Huizenga ahead 48-42, reflects a narrower margin than his 2024 double-digit victory and underscores Democratic competitiveness. State Sen. Sean McCann leads the Democratic primary field set for August 4 and has secured endorsements such as from Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, while both parties’ nominees face the general election on November 3. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, consistent with the current 60.5% Republican implied probability in trader assessments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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