Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces limited opposition in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses much of the Louisville metro area and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. McGarvey advanced automatically after the May 19 Democratic primary was canceled due to lack of challengers, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from her party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s prior 61.9 percent victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural factors. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-03 House Election Winner
KY-03 House Election Winner
$17,838 ปริมาณ
$17,838 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$17,838 ปริมาณ
$17,838 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,865 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$2,973 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces limited opposition in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses much of the Louisville metro area and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. McGarvey advanced automatically after the May 19 Democratic primary was canceled due to lack of challengers, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from her party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s prior 61.9 percent victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural factors. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,838วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces limited opposition in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses much of the Louisville metro area and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. McGarvey advanced automatically after the May 19 Democratic primary was canceled due to lack of challengers, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from her party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s prior 61.9 percent victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural factors. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,838วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Morgan McGarvey faces limited opposition in Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district, which encompasses much of the Louisville metro area and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles. McGarvey advanced automatically after the May 19 Democratic primary was canceled due to lack of challengers, while Republican nominee Maria Teresa Rodriguez emerged from her party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic based on the district’s partisan lean and the incumbent’s prior 61.9 percent victory. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 92.5 percent implied probability, reflecting these structural factors. A late scandal, significant health event, or major national political shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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