Łukasz Gibała holds a dominant position in the Kraków mayoral race due to his consistent lead in recent polling and strong local recognition as an independent candidate backed by the Kraków for Residents committee. Following the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, Gibała registered early and navigated signature verification challenges to secure ballot access ahead of the September 27 first-round vote. Latest surveys, including an early September IBRiS poll, place him narrowly ahead of Monika Piątkowska (supported by KO and PSL) at roughly 17-18%, with Michał Drewnicki (PiS) and others trailing further in a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates. Traders appear to price in Gibała’s path to a likely runoff and advantage there, driven by voter dissatisfaction with the prior administration and limited consolidation among party-backed rivals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วŁukasz Gibała 77%
Monika Piątkowska 16%
Michał Drewnicki 5.1%
Grażyna Zofia Świat 3.1%
$25,658 ปริมาณ
$25,658 ปริมาณ
Łukasz Gibała
77%
Monika Piątkowska
16%
Michał Drewnicki
5%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
3%
Rafał Komarewicz
2%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%
Aleksandra Owca
1%
Jan Hoffman
1%
Marta Ratuszyńska
1%
Marianna Schreiber
1%
Marian Banaś
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
Rafał Sonik
<1%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%
Michał Klimek
<1%
Łukasz Gibała 77%
Monika Piątkowska 16%
Michał Drewnicki 5.1%
Grażyna Zofia Świat 3.1%
$25,658 ปริมาณ
$25,658 ปริมาณ
Łukasz Gibała
77%
Monika Piątkowska
16%
Michał Drewnicki
5%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
3%
Rafał Komarewicz
2%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
1%
Aleksandra Owca
1%
Jan Hoffman
1%
Marta Ratuszyńska
1%
Marianna Schreiber
1%
Marian Banaś
<1%
Łukasz Wantuch
<1%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
<1%
Paweł Śliz
<1%
Rafał Sonik
<1%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
<1%
Michał Klimek
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała holds a dominant position in the Kraków mayoral race due to his consistent lead in recent polling and strong local recognition as an independent candidate backed by the Kraków for Residents committee. Following the May 2026 recall of incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, Gibała registered early and navigated signature verification challenges to secure ballot access ahead of the September 27 first-round vote. Latest surveys, including an early September IBRiS poll, place him narrowly ahead of Monika Piątkowska (supported by KO and PSL) at roughly 17-18%, with Michał Drewnicki (PiS) and others trailing further in a fragmented field of over a dozen registered candidates. Traders appear to price in Gibała’s path to a likely runoff and advantage there, driven by voter dissatisfaction with the prior administration and limited consolidation among party-backed rivals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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