Recent sharp declines in the KOSPI, which closed at 5,059.69 on November 6 after dropping over 6% intraday and triggering circuit breakers, have widened the gap to its June 2026 all-time high near 9,385. Trader sentiment favoring "No" at 77% reflects heavy exposure to semiconductor names like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, whose shares led the selloff amid post-U.S. midterm election concerns over potential Democratic-led restrictions on AI data center spending and infrastructure. With the index now roughly 46% below its peak and global risk appetite pressured by regulatory uncertainty, the probability of a sustained recovery sufficient to set a new record before the end of 2027 remains low. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming chipmaker earnings, Bank of Korea policy signals, and shifts in U.S. tech capital expenditure trends.
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