China's July 2026 annual CPI eased to 0.5% year-over-year, the lowest reading since January and below consensus forecasts of 0.8%, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released in early August. This outcome reflects persistent weakness in domestic demand, with food prices declining 1.5% amid lower costs for fruit, eggs, and other staples, alongside slower non-food inflation and a 0.1% monthly drop in consumer prices. Producer prices also moderated to 3.5%, consistent with subdued factory-gate momentum. Trader consensus at 100% for ≤0.6% aligns directly with these verified figures. Potential challenges remain limited but could include rare post-release data revisions or adjustments in seasonal factors, though historical patterns show such changes rarely alter headline results materially once published.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJuly Inflation China - Annual
≤0.6% 100.0%
0.7% - 0.8% <1%
0.9% - 1.0% <1%
1.1% - 1.2% <1%
$40,482 ปริมาณ
$40,482 ปริมาณ
≤0.6%
Yes
0.7% - 0.8%
No
0.9% - 1.0%
No
1.1% - 1.2%
No
1.3%+
No
≤0.6% 100.0%
0.7% - 0.8% <1%
0.9% - 1.0% <1%
1.1% - 1.2% <1%
$40,482 ปริมาณ
$40,482 ปริมาณ
≤0.6%
Yes
0.7% - 0.8%
No
0.9% - 1.0%
No
1.1% - 1.2%
No
1.3%+
No
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in July 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending July 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for July 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in August 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for July 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in July 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
China's July 2026 annual CPI eased to 0.5% year-over-year, the lowest reading since January and below consensus forecasts of 0.8%, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released in early August. This outcome reflects persistent weakness in domestic demand, with food prices declining 1.5% amid lower costs for fruit, eggs, and other staples, alongside slower non-food inflation and a 0.1% monthly drop in consumer prices. Producer prices also moderated to 3.5%, consistent with subdued factory-gate momentum. Trader consensus at 100% for ≤0.6% aligns directly with these verified figures. Potential challenges remain limited but could include rare post-release data revisions or adjustments in seasonal factors, though historical patterns show such changes rarely alter headline results materially once published.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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