**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.** That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$423,227 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
September 9
1%
September 11
2%
September 13
14%
September 15
14%
September 30
69%
$423,227 ปริมาณ
September 9
$22,406 ปริมาณ
1%
September 11
$8,997 ปริมาณ
2%
September 13
$11,643 ปริมาณ
14%
September 15
$72,548 ปริมาณ
14%
September 30
$99,128 ปริมาณ
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.**
That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$423,227วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.**
That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$423,227วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 4:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Recent Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon, including the capture of the Ali al-Taher Ridge in early September and subsequent strikes, have complicated implementation of the June 2026 U.S.-brokered trilateral framework agreement and delayed further high-level diplomatic engagement.** That June 26 framework established a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment in pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployment from occupied areas, following multiple rounds of ambassador-level talks in Washington. Subsequent technical sessions in Rome through early August advanced details on military coordination, borders, and pilot-zone standards, with an eighth round tentatively slated for September. Persistent ceasefire violations, Hezbollah opposition, and stalled withdrawals have kept momentum limited, leaving trader assessments of near-term diplomatic meetings sensitive to any verified de-escalation or resumption of U.S.-facilitated negotiations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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