Recent polling shows Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, fluctuating between 20 and 24 seats in surveys conducted in early October, keeping its projected outcome tightly contested with Likud and other lists. The two main Zionist blocs remain near parity around 52 seats each, with no clear path to a 61-seat majority, while competition from Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad and smaller parties adds volatility. Traders’ distribution across 20–25 seat bins reflects this uncertainty ahead of the October 27 vote, as small shifts in turnout, northern security concerns, or coalition signals could alter final seat totals.