**Recent polling averages place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at roughly 7–8 Knesset seats, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcome.** Multiple surveys conducted in late September and early October 2026, including those from Channel 13, i24NEWS, Zman Yisrael, and others, consistently project UTJ in this range amid a fragmented field where the Netanyahu-aligned bloc hovers near 51–53 seats and the main opposition bloc near 50–52. UTJ’s positioning reflects stable Haredi voter support focused on draft exemptions and yeshiva funding, tempered by internal coalition tensions over conscription legislation and reports that some UTJ factions might abstain rather than block an Eisenkot-led government. With elections scheduled for October 27 and no major late shifts in Haredi turnout indicators or alliance dynamics, trader consensus tracks these steady seat projections.