Recent polls place the Reservists-Economic joint list (led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha) near or below Israel's 3.25% electoral threshold, with results ranging from 1.4% to 2.2% in national surveys and higher only in narrow demographic slices. Vote fragmentation across multiple parties appealing to reservists, security-focused voters, and economic reformers—such as Yashar and others—has limited consolidation. The October 27 election date, combined with ongoing surplus-vote agreement talks and bloc positioning debates, sustains uncertainty about final turnout among these constituencies. Trader consensus reflects this polling pattern and the structural challenges small lists face in crossing the threshold.