Recent Israeli election polls ahead of the October 27 vote show Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, consistently projected in the 6-9 seat range amid a fragmented right-religious bloc. Support has fluctuated with shifts in Likud and Religious Zionism-Zehut numbers, as new entrants and separate lists split nationalist-religious voters. Attempts to disqualify the party were rejected by the Central Elections Committee, while broader campaign focus on security and October 7 commemorations has kept bloc totals near parity without a clear majority path. Trader consensus reflects this volatility and narrow polling spreads, with separation likely hinging on turnout among core supporters or late security developments.
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