Recent polling averages place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) at roughly 7–8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady Arab-sector support tempered by competition from Ra’am and variable turnout. The Supreme Court’s recent reversal of Central Elections Committee disqualifications cleared the slate to run, removing a key downward risk and anchoring trader expectations near the current 6–9 seat range. Tightness between 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes stems from narrow polling margins, sensitivity to overall bloc momentum between the Netanyahu-aligned and opposition camps, and historical volatility in Arab-list performance. A late surge in Arab turnout, shifts in surplus-vote agreements, or renewed legal challenges could widen the range; sustained low participation or stronger Ra’am gains would likely compress results toward the lower end.