The July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI printed at 55.6, landing squarely in the 55.0–55.9 bucket that commands 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The 2.3-point jump from June’s 53.3 reflected broad-based acceleration: the production index surged to 58.5 (highest since late 2021), new orders held above 56, and the employment sub-index returned to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months. Traders cite AI-driven capital spending, pre-tariff inventory builds, and resilient domestic demand as the key supports that lifted the headline well above the 54.0 consensus. With the official release now complete and the figure confirmed within the narrow band, only an unforeseen revision or data restatement could alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วISM Manufacturing PMI - July 2026
ISM Manufacturing PMI - July 2026
55.0–55.9 100.0%
<49.0 <1%
49.0–49.9 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
$32,153 ปริมาณ
$32,153 ปริมาณ
Aug 3, 2026
<49.0
No
49.0–49.9
No
50.0–50.9
No
51.0–51.9
No
52.0–52.9
No
53.0–53.9
No
54.0–54.9
No
55.0–55.9
Yes
56.0–56.9
No
57.0+
No
55.0–55.9 100.0%
<49.0 <1%
49.0–49.9 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
$32,153 ปริมาณ
$32,153 ปริมาณ
Aug 3, 2026
<49.0
$2,951 ปริมาณ
No
49.0–49.9
$1,125 ปริมาณ
No
50.0–50.9
$895 ปริมาณ
No
51.0–51.9
$5,416 ปริมาณ
No
52.0–52.9
$4,886 ปริมาณ
No
53.0–53.9
$8,926 ปริมาณ
No
54.0–54.9
$3,877 ปริมาณ
No
55.0–55.9
$2,290 ปริมาณ
Yes
56.0–56.9
$778 ปริมาณ
No
57.0+
$1,008 ปริมาณ
No
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI printed at 55.6, landing squarely in the 55.0–55.9 bucket that commands 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The 2.3-point jump from June’s 53.3 reflected broad-based acceleration: the production index surged to 58.5 (highest since late 2021), new orders held above 56, and the employment sub-index returned to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months. Traders cite AI-driven capital spending, pre-tariff inventory builds, and resilient domestic demand as the key supports that lifted the headline well above the 54.0 consensus. With the official release now complete and the figure confirmed within the narrow band, only an unforeseen revision or data restatement could alter the outcome.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,153วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 12:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI printed at 55.6, landing squarely in the 55.0–55.9 bucket that commands 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The 2.3-point jump from June’s 53.3 reflected broad-based acceleration: the production index surged to 58.5 (highest since late 2021), new orders held above 56, and the employment sub-index returned to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months. Traders cite AI-driven capital spending, pre-tariff inventory builds, and resilient domestic demand as the key supports that lifted the headline well above the 54.0 consensus. With the official release now complete and the figure confirmed within the narrow band, only an unforeseen revision or data restatement could alter the outcome.
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for July 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for July 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on August 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,153วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 12:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The July 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI printed at 55.6, landing squarely in the 55.0–55.9 bucket that commands 100% implied probability on Polymarket. The 2.3-point jump from June’s 53.3 reflected broad-based acceleration: the production index surged to 58.5 (highest since late 2021), new orders held above 56, and the employment sub-index returned to expansion at 52.8 for the first time in 33 months. Traders cite AI-driven capital spending, pre-tariff inventory builds, and resilient domestic demand as the key supports that lifted the headline well above the 54.0 consensus. With the official release now complete and the figure confirmed within the narrow band, only an unforeseen revision or data restatement could alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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