Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed primary win on March 17 solidified his path to a third term, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022. Illinois' status as a Democratic stronghold, driven by Chicago's dominance in vote-rich urban areas, combined with forecasters' safe Democratic ratings and a November 2025 poll showing Pritzker up 54-34, underpin the lopsided odds amid no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days. While barriers to a Republican upset remain high given historical incumbent advantages and base rates in blue states, scenarios like a Pritzker scandal, economic crisis, or national GOP wave could narrow the gap before election night.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,841 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$2,658 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed primary win on March 17 solidified his path to a third term, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022. Illinois' status as a Democratic stronghold, driven by Chicago's dominance in vote-rich urban areas, combined with forecasters' safe Democratic ratings and a November 2025 poll showing Pritzker up 54-34, underpin the lopsided odds amid no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days. While barriers to a Republican upset remain high given historical incumbent advantages and base rates in blue states, scenarios like a Pritzker scandal, economic crisis, or national GOP wave could narrow the gap before election night.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,499วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed primary win on March 17 solidified his path to a third term, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022. Illinois' status as a Democratic stronghold, driven by Chicago's dominance in vote-rich urban areas, combined with forecasters' safe Democratic ratings and a November 2025 poll showing Pritzker up 54-34, underpin the lopsided odds amid no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days. While barriers to a Republican upset remain high given historical incumbent advantages and base rates in blue states, scenarios like a Pritzker scandal, economic crisis, or national GOP wave could narrow the gap before election night.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,499วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed primary win on March 17 solidified his path to a third term, fueling trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic victory in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022. Illinois' status as a Democratic stronghold, driven by Chicago's dominance in vote-rich urban areas, combined with forecasters' safe Democratic ratings and a November 2025 poll showing Pritzker up 54-34, underpin the lopsided odds amid no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days. While barriers to a Republican upset remain high given historical incumbent advantages and base rates in blue states, scenarios like a Pritzker scandal, economic crisis, or national GOP wave could narrow the gap before election night.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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