The Illinois 15th congressional district's pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with 73.6% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from her primary; nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles reinforce this positioning. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout, or a late development involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-15 House Election Winner
IL-15 House Election Winner
$22,472 ปริมาณ
$22,472 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$22,472 ปริมาณ
$22,472 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,019 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$6,453 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 15th congressional district's pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with 73.6% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from her primary; nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles reinforce this positioning. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout, or a late development involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,472วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 15th congressional district's pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with 73.6% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from her primary; nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles reinforce this positioning. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout, or a late development involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,472วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 15th congressional district's pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mary Miller secured her party's nomination with 73.6% of the primary vote in March 2026, while Democrat Jennifer Todd advanced from her primary; nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The district's consistent voting patterns in recent cycles reinforce this positioning. A national partisan shift favoring Democrats, unusually high suburban turnout, or a late development involving the incumbent could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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