Incumbent Republican Mike Bost secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 12th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the November general election as solidly Republican, citing the district's rural southern Illinois composition and voter patterns that have limited Democratic performance. Bost's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Julie Fortier further reinforces this positioning. Trader consensus at over 90 percent probability for a Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal, a sharp national Democratic surge, or health-related developments could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-12 House Election Winner
IL-12 House Election Winner
$18,126 ปริมาณ
$18,126 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$18,126 ปริมาณ
$18,126 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,790 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$10,336 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 12th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the November general election as solidly Republican, citing the district's rural southern Illinois composition and voter patterns that have limited Democratic performance. Bost's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Julie Fortier further reinforces this positioning. Trader consensus at over 90 percent probability for a Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal, a sharp national Democratic surge, or health-related developments could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,126วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 12th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the November general election as solidly Republican, citing the district's rural southern Illinois composition and voter patterns that have limited Democratic performance. Bost's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Julie Fortier further reinforces this positioning. Trader consensus at over 90 percent probability for a Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal, a sharp national Democratic surge, or health-related developments could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,126วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 12th congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Republican tilt reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the November general election as solidly Republican, citing the district's rural southern Illinois composition and voter patterns that have limited Democratic performance. Bost's substantial fundraising edge over Democratic nominee Julie Fortier further reinforces this positioning. Trader consensus at over 90 percent probability for a Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages. Late-cycle developments such as an unexpected scandal, a sharp national Democratic surge, or health-related developments could still introduce uncertainty before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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