Illinois' 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of northwest Chicago and surrounding suburbs, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in the incumbent's 67 percent victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination without primary opposition on March 17, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing stable voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps have proven durable in similar cycles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected national Republican surge, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen changes in redistricting before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-03 House Election Winner
IL-03 House Election Winner
$36,117 ปริมาณ
$36,117 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$36,117 ปริมาณ
$36,117 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,713 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$21,405 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of northwest Chicago and surrounding suburbs, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in the incumbent's 67 percent victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination without primary opposition on March 17, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing stable voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps have proven durable in similar cycles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected national Republican surge, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen changes in redistricting before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,117วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of northwest Chicago and surrounding suburbs, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in the incumbent's 67 percent victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination without primary opposition on March 17, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing stable voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps have proven durable in similar cycles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected national Republican surge, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen changes in redistricting before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,117วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' 3rd congressional district, encompassing much of northwest Chicago and surrounding suburbs, maintains a consistent Democratic lean reflected in the incumbent's 67 percent victory margin in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination without primary opposition on March 17, while Republican Angel Oakley advanced unopposed on the other side. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing stable voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding position because historical turnout patterns and fundraising gaps have proven durable in similar cycles. A realistic shift would require an unexpected national Republican surge, a major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen changes in redistricting before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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