The referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations occurred on 29 August 2026, with official results confirming turnout at 82.5% of registered voters—the highest since 2009 parliamentary elections. This outcome directly aligns trader consensus on the 80–85% range, reflecting elevated participation driven by intense public debate over fisheries sovereignty, economic stability, and regional security amid Arctic tensions. Advance voting reached record levels, while strong engagement across urban and rural constituencies contributed to the elevated rate. The market's pricing captures this verified participation figure rather than pre-vote expectations, with minimal probability assigned to other bins given the confirmed results.