Iowa's 1st Congressional District remains one of the nation's most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent holding a narrow 2024 victory margin of under one percentage point that continues to shape trader assessments. Democratic primary voters will select between former state senator Christina Bohannan, who mounted strong challenges in both 2022 and 2024, and challenger Travis Terrell on June 2, while Republicans weigh incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against primary opponent David Pautsch. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its partisan voting index near even and Democrats' focus on flipping the district amid strong name recognition for their leading candidate. These dynamics support the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee as traders weigh the potential for a rematch in this southeastern Iowa battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$734 ปริมาณ
63%
Republican Party
$641 ปริมาณ
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 1st Congressional District remains one of the nation's most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent holding a narrow 2024 victory margin of under one percentage point that continues to shape trader assessments. Democratic primary voters will select between former state senator Christina Bohannan, who mounted strong challenges in both 2022 and 2024, and challenger Travis Terrell on June 2, while Republicans weigh incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against primary opponent David Pautsch. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its partisan voting index near even and Democrats' focus on flipping the district amid strong name recognition for their leading candidate. These dynamics support the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee as traders weigh the potential for a rematch in this southeastern Iowa battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,374วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 1st Congressional District remains one of the nation's most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent holding a narrow 2024 victory margin of under one percentage point that continues to shape trader assessments. Democratic primary voters will select between former state senator Christina Bohannan, who mounted strong challenges in both 2022 and 2024, and challenger Travis Terrell on June 2, while Republicans weigh incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against primary opponent David Pautsch. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its partisan voting index near even and Democrats' focus on flipping the district amid strong name recognition for their leading candidate. These dynamics support the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee as traders weigh the potential for a rematch in this southeastern Iowa battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,374วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 1st Congressional District remains one of the nation's most competitive House races heading into the November 2026 general election, with the Republican incumbent holding a narrow 2024 victory margin of under one percentage point that continues to shape trader assessments. Democratic primary voters will select between former state senator Christina Bohannan, who mounted strong challenges in both 2022 and 2024, and challenger Travis Terrell on June 2, while Republicans weigh incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against primary opponent David Pautsch. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as a toss-up, reflecting its partisan voting index near even and Democrats' focus on flipping the district amid strong name recognition for their leading candidate. These dynamics support the current market consensus favoring the Democratic nominee as traders weigh the potential for a rematch in this southeastern Iowa battleground.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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