How many states will 538 call correctly?
How many states will 538 call correctly?
46 99%
48 91%
47 15%
43 9.0%
$10,713 ปริมาณ
$10,713 ปริมาณ
Nov 5, 2024
50
No
49
No
48
No
47
No
46
Yes
45
No
44
No
43
No
<43
No
46 99%
48 91%
47 15%
43 9.0%
$10,713 ปริมาณ
$10,713 ปริมาณ
Nov 5, 2024
50
$5,112 ปริมาณ
No
49
$1,846 ปริมาณ
No
48
$975 ปริมาณ
No
47
$409 ปริมาณ
No
46
$1,313 ปริมาณ
Yes
45
$121 ปริมาณ
No
44
$123 ปริมาณ
No
43
$241 ปริมาณ
No
<43
$572 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in all 50 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 49 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight's correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 48 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 47 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 46 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 45 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If the FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 44 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 43 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in fewer than 43 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in all 50 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 28, 2024, 12:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,713วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2024ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 28, 2024, 12:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in all 50 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 49 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight's correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 48 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 47 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 46 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 45 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If the FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 44 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in precisely 43 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in fewer than 43 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final election forecast by FiveThirtyEight correctly predicts the winning candidate in all 50 U.S. states in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.
The forecast’s prediction for each state will be based on the candidate with the highest probability of winning in that state.
If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast has two candidates tied as most likely for a state (there is no favorite), that state will not count as a as a state called correctly.
This market may only resolve once all of Polymarket's presidential election state markets have been resolved.
The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the probability of winning each U.S. state.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,713วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2024ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 28, 2024, 12:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
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