Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election follows the first full Knesset term since 1988, yet recent polls show Netanyahu's right-wing bloc and the opposition each projected near 50-53 seats, short of the 61 needed for a majority. Coalition formation requires cross-bloc deals, including potential Arab party support or surplus agreements, amid competing priorities on security, judicial issues, and ultra-Orthodox exemptions. Trader consensus favoring one election at 63 percent reflects expectations that post-vote negotiations will succeed within the standard timeline, while the 30 percent on two elections accounts for risks of deadlock similar to 2019-2022 cycles if no leader secures presidential mandate support or Knesset confidence vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1 63%
2 30%
3 5.2%
4 5.0%
$41,159 ปริมาณ
$41,159 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
0
<1%
1
63%
2
30%
3
5%
4
5%
5+
<1%
1 63%
2 30%
3 5.2%
4 5.0%
$41,159 ปริมาณ
$41,159 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
0
$1,861 ปริมาณ
<1%
1
$16,690 ปริมาณ
63%
2
$15,053 ปริมาณ
30%
3
$3,589 ปริมาณ
5%
4
$2,518 ปริมาณ
5%
5+
$1,448 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election follows the first full Knesset term since 1988, yet recent polls show Netanyahu's right-wing bloc and the opposition each projected near 50-53 seats, short of the 61 needed for a majority. Coalition formation requires cross-bloc deals, including potential Arab party support or surplus agreements, amid competing priorities on security, judicial issues, and ultra-Orthodox exemptions. Trader consensus favoring one election at 63 percent reflects expectations that post-vote negotiations will succeed within the standard timeline, while the 30 percent on two elections accounts for risks of deadlock similar to 2019-2022 cycles if no leader secures presidential mandate support or Knesset confidence vote.
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,159วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 6:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election follows the first full Knesset term since 1988, yet recent polls show Netanyahu's right-wing bloc and the opposition each projected near 50-53 seats, short of the 61 needed for a majority. Coalition formation requires cross-bloc deals, including potential Arab party support or surplus agreements, amid competing priorities on security, judicial issues, and ultra-Orthodox exemptions. Trader consensus favoring one election at 63 percent reflects expectations that post-vote negotiations will succeed within the standard timeline, while the 30 percent on two elections accounts for risks of deadlock similar to 2019-2022 cycles if no leader secures presidential mandate support or Knesset confidence vote.
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.
Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.
A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,159วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 6:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Israel's October 27, 2026, legislative election follows the first full Knesset term since 1988, yet recent polls show Netanyahu's right-wing bloc and the opposition each projected near 50-53 seats, short of the 61 needed for a majority. Coalition formation requires cross-bloc deals, including potential Arab party support or surplus agreements, amid competing priorities on security, judicial issues, and ultra-Orthodox exemptions. Trader consensus favoring one election at 63 percent reflects expectations that post-vote negotiations will succeed within the standard timeline, while the 30 percent on two elections accounts for risks of deadlock similar to 2019-2022 cycles if no leader secures presidential mandate support or Knesset confidence vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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