Nevada’s four congressional districts feature three Democratic-held seats rated likely or lean Democratic by forecasters, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford advancing comfortably from June primaries and maintaining fundraising edges. The open northern district (NV-2), vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains the decisive factor, rated likely or safe Republican by most analysts despite Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and scattered polls showing her competitive with Republican David Flippo. Trader consensus favors Democrats securing exactly three seats because the district’s rural, conservative lean and historical patterns outweigh recent modest rating shifts and national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. A fourth seat would require an upset in NV-2 that current evidence does not yet support at scale, while outcomes below three seats would demand unexpected erosion in the more secure southern districts ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3 75%
4 21%
2 4.5%
1 1.0%
$11,619 ปริมาณ
$11,619 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
0
1%
1
1%
2
5%
3
75%
4
21%
3 75%
4 21%
2 4.5%
1 1.0%
$11,619 ปริมาณ
$11,619 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
0
$979 ปริมาณ
1%
1
$1,033 ปริมาณ
1%
2
$2,413 ปริมาณ
5%
3
$5,190 ปริมาณ
75%
4
$2,004 ปริมาณ
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Nevada’s four congressional districts feature three Democratic-held seats rated likely or lean Democratic by forecasters, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford advancing comfortably from June primaries and maintaining fundraising edges. The open northern district (NV-2), vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains the decisive factor, rated likely or safe Republican by most analysts despite Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and scattered polls showing her competitive with Republican David Flippo. Trader consensus favors Democrats securing exactly three seats because the district’s rural, conservative lean and historical patterns outweigh recent modest rating shifts and national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. A fourth seat would require an upset in NV-2 that current evidence does not yet support at scale, while outcomes below three seats would demand unexpected erosion in the more secure southern districts ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,619วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Nevada’s four congressional districts feature three Democratic-held seats rated likely or lean Democratic by forecasters, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford advancing comfortably from June primaries and maintaining fundraising edges. The open northern district (NV-2), vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains the decisive factor, rated likely or safe Republican by most analysts despite Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and scattered polls showing her competitive with Republican David Flippo. Trader consensus favors Democrats securing exactly three seats because the district’s rural, conservative lean and historical patterns outweigh recent modest rating shifts and national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. A fourth seat would require an upset in NV-2 that current evidence does not yet support at scale, while outcomes below three seats would demand unexpected erosion in the more secure southern districts ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Nevada in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Nevada US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,619วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:11 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Nevada’s four congressional districts feature three Democratic-held seats rated likely or lean Democratic by forecasters, with incumbents Dina Titus, Susie Lee, and Steven Horsford advancing comfortably from June primaries and maintaining fundraising edges. The open northern district (NV-2), vacated by retiring Republican Mark Amodei, remains the decisive factor, rated likely or safe Republican by most analysts despite Teresa Benitez-Thompson’s Democratic nomination and scattered polls showing her competitive with Republican David Flippo. Trader consensus favors Democrats securing exactly three seats because the district’s rural, conservative lean and historical patterns outweigh recent modest rating shifts and national generic ballot trends favoring Democrats. A fourth seat would require an upset in NV-2 that current evidence does not yet support at scale, while outcomes below three seats would demand unexpected erosion in the more secure southern districts ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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