California’s new congressional map, enacted after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifted several formerly Republican-held districts toward Democrats in response to mid-decade redistricting elsewhere. Primaries completed in June 2026 advanced Democratic candidates into strong positions across most targeted seats, including the open 1st District and the redrawn 6th, while leaving only a handful of competitive races such as those involving Republican incumbents David Valadao and the successor to retiring Darrell Issa. With Democrats already holding 43 of 52 seats after 2024, trader consensus around 47–48 total seats reflects the map’s projected net gains of four or five, tempered by residual uncertainty in two or three districts and the state’s top-two primary system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว48 65%
47 23%
49+ 4.8%
46 4.4%
$21,916 ปริมาณ
$21,916 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<43
<1%
43
<1%
44
2%
45
2%
46
4%
47
23%
48
65%
49+
5%
48 65%
47 23%
49+ 4.8%
46 4.4%
$21,916 ปริมาณ
$21,916 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<43
$565 ปริมาณ
<1%
43
$649 ปริมาณ
<1%
44
$801 ปริมาณ
2%
45
$863 ปริมาณ
2%
46
$1,306 ปริมาณ
4%
47
$5,331 ปริมาณ
23%
48
$11,586 ปริมาณ
65%
49+
$815 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.California’s new congressional map, enacted after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifted several formerly Republican-held districts toward Democrats in response to mid-decade redistricting elsewhere. Primaries completed in June 2026 advanced Democratic candidates into strong positions across most targeted seats, including the open 1st District and the redrawn 6th, while leaving only a handful of competitive races such as those involving Republican incumbents David Valadao and the successor to retiring Darrell Issa. With Democrats already holding 43 of 52 seats after 2024, trader consensus around 47–48 total seats reflects the map’s projected net gains of four or five, tempered by residual uncertainty in two or three districts and the state’s top-two primary system.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,916วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.California’s new congressional map, enacted after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifted several formerly Republican-held districts toward Democrats in response to mid-decade redistricting elsewhere. Primaries completed in June 2026 advanced Democratic candidates into strong positions across most targeted seats, including the open 1st District and the redrawn 6th, while leaving only a handful of competitive races such as those involving Republican incumbents David Valadao and the successor to retiring Darrell Issa. With Democrats already holding 43 of 52 seats after 2024, trader consensus around 47–48 total seats reflects the map’s projected net gains of four or five, tempered by residual uncertainty in two or three districts and the state’s top-two primary system.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,916วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:18 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...California’s new congressional map, enacted after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, shifted several formerly Republican-held districts toward Democrats in response to mid-decade redistricting elsewhere. Primaries completed in June 2026 advanced Democratic candidates into strong positions across most targeted seats, including the open 1st District and the redrawn 6th, while leaving only a handful of competitive races such as those involving Republican incumbents David Valadao and the successor to retiring Darrell Issa. With Democrats already holding 43 of 52 seats after 2024, trader consensus around 47–48 total seats reflects the map’s projected net gains of four or five, tempered by residual uncertainty in two or three districts and the state’s top-two primary system.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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