**Democrats currently hold three of Arizona’s nine House seats, with three more rated safe or solid Democratic in nonpartisan forecasts.** The market’s emphasis on five seats (53%) centers on two competitive Republican-held districts: the open AZ-1, rated toss-up or lean Democratic after incumbent David Schweikert retired to run for governor, and AZ-6, a toss-up or lean-D race featuring Republican Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. Recent July 2026 primaries finalized nominees, including Democrat Amish Shah in AZ-1, without major shifts in positioning. Broader national midterm dynamics, including a Democratic-leaning generic ballot, support the potential for one or two flips in these Phoenix- and Tucson-area battlegrounds. The lower odds on four or six seats reflect limited structural openings beyond these two districts and historical performance patterns in the remaining safe Republican seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว5 53%
4 19.8%
6 17%
3 5.1%
$20,086 ปริมาณ
$20,086 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<3
<1%
3
5%
4
23%
5
53%
6
17%
7+
1%
5 53%
4 19.8%
6 17%
3 5.1%
$20,086 ปริมาณ
$20,086 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<3
$1,284 ปริมาณ
<1%
3
$6,316 ปริมาณ
5%
4
$4,719 ปริมาณ
23%
5
$4,867 ปริมาณ
53%
6
$1,873 ปริมาณ
17%
7+
$1,026 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Democrats currently hold three of Arizona’s nine House seats, with three more rated safe or solid Democratic in nonpartisan forecasts.** The market’s emphasis on five seats (53%) centers on two competitive Republican-held districts: the open AZ-1, rated toss-up or lean Democratic after incumbent David Schweikert retired to run for governor, and AZ-6, a toss-up or lean-D race featuring Republican Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. Recent July 2026 primaries finalized nominees, including Democrat Amish Shah in AZ-1, without major shifts in positioning. Broader national midterm dynamics, including a Democratic-leaning generic ballot, support the potential for one or two flips in these Phoenix- and Tucson-area battlegrounds. The lower odds on four or six seats reflect limited structural openings beyond these two districts and historical performance patterns in the remaining safe Republican seats.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,086วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Democrats currently hold three of Arizona’s nine House seats, with three more rated safe or solid Democratic in nonpartisan forecasts.** The market’s emphasis on five seats (53%) centers on two competitive Republican-held districts: the open AZ-1, rated toss-up or lean Democratic after incumbent David Schweikert retired to run for governor, and AZ-6, a toss-up or lean-D race featuring Republican Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. Recent July 2026 primaries finalized nominees, including Democrat Amish Shah in AZ-1, without major shifts in positioning. Broader national midterm dynamics, including a Democratic-leaning generic ballot, support the potential for one or two flips in these Phoenix- and Tucson-area battlegrounds. The lower odds on four or six seats reflect limited structural openings beyond these two districts and historical performance patterns in the remaining safe Republican seats.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Arizona in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Arizona US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,086วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Democrats currently hold three of Arizona’s nine House seats, with three more rated safe or solid Democratic in nonpartisan forecasts.** The market’s emphasis on five seats (53%) centers on two competitive Republican-held districts: the open AZ-1, rated toss-up or lean Democratic after incumbent David Schweikert retired to run for governor, and AZ-6, a toss-up or lean-D race featuring Republican Juan Ciscomani against Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. Recent July 2026 primaries finalized nominees, including Democrat Amish Shah in AZ-1, without major shifts in positioning. Broader national midterm dynamics, including a Democratic-leaning generic ballot, support the potential for one or two flips in these Phoenix- and Tucson-area battlegrounds. The lower odds on four or six seats reflect limited structural openings beyond these two districts and historical performance patterns in the remaining safe Republican seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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