Persistent divisions among FOMC members over the policy response to elevated inflation—core PCE near 3.3% year-over-year and headline measures higher amid energy pressures—drive the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around two to three dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Recent votes, including the 9-3 July outcome with three regional bank presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike and the April meeting’s four dissents, underscore hawk-dove splits on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate versus tightening further. Stable labor conditions near 4.1% unemployment and incoming September data on prices, jobs, and geopolitical energy risks remain key swing factors that could shift consensus or sustain disagreement heading into 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3 30%
2 20%
0 19%
1 19%
0
19%
1
19%
2
20%
3
30%
4+
15%
3 30%
2 20%
0 19%
1 19%
0
19%
1
19%
2
20%
3
30%
4+
15%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent divisions among FOMC members over the policy response to elevated inflation—core PCE near 3.3% year-over-year and headline measures higher amid energy pressures—drive the tight clustering of Polymarket odds around two to three dissents at the January 2027 meeting. Recent votes, including the 9-3 July outcome with three regional bank presidents favoring a 25-basis-point hike and the April meeting’s four dissents, underscore hawk-dove splits on holding the 3.50-3.75% funds rate versus tightening further. Stable labor conditions near 4.1% unemployment and incoming September data on prices, jobs, and geopolitical energy risks remain key swing factors that could shift consensus or sustain disagreement heading into 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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