Persistent inflation near 3.6% headline PCE and above 3% core, alongside resilient labor data with unemployment around 4.1-4.3%, has sustained hawkish pressure on the FOMC and produced multiple recent dissents favoring hikes. Recent meetings, including the July 9-3 hold, featured three officials dissenting for tighter policy amid energy shocks and tariff effects, while dot-plot dispersion signals differing rate-path views. With the September 15-16 decision and intervening CPI, employment, and geopolitical releases as key swing factors, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around two to four-plus dissents at the December 8-9 meeting because incoming data could either consolidate a hold or widen the hawkish minority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
0 18%
0
18%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 23.9%
3 24%
4+ 22%
0 18%
0
18%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation near 3.6% headline PCE and above 3% core, alongside resilient labor data with unemployment around 4.1-4.3%, has sustained hawkish pressure on the FOMC and produced multiple recent dissents favoring hikes. Recent meetings, including the July 9-3 hold, featured three officials dissenting for tighter policy amid energy shocks and tariff effects, while dot-plot dispersion signals differing rate-path views. With the September 15-16 decision and intervening CPI, employment, and geopolitical releases as key swing factors, trader-implied odds cluster tightly around two to four-plus dissents at the December 8-9 meeting because incoming data could either consolidate a hold or widen the hawkish minority.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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