Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, where prosecutors are nearing the end of their case after Jessica Mann's cross-examination and PTSD expert testimony this week, leaving 20-30 years slightly ahead of no prison time. The disgraced Hollywood producer, central to the #MeToo movement, is currently incarcerated at Rikers Island serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while awaiting sentencing on a 2025 New York criminal sex act conviction that could add 5-25 years. A guilty verdict here might push totals into the 20-30 range, but acquittal, successful appeals—including a skeptical April California panel—or his age-74 health issues could enable release, fueling the tight race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
เวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
20-30 ปี 33.4%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 27.9%
มากกว่า 30 ปี 15.3%
10-20 years 11.5%
$913,202 ปริมาณ
$913,202 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
28%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
7%
5-10 years
4%
10-20 years
12%
20-30 ปี
33%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
15%
20-30 ปี 33.4%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 27.9%
มากกว่า 30 ปี 15.3%
10-20 years 11.5%
$913,202 ปริมาณ
$913,202 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$328,130 ปริมาณ
28%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
$119,163 ปริมาณ
7%
5-10 years
$69,362 ปริมาณ
4%
10-20 years
$147,064 ปริมาณ
12%
20-30 ปี
$185,676 ปริมาณ
33%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
$63,809 ปริมาณ
15%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, where prosecutors are nearing the end of their case after Jessica Mann's cross-examination and PTSD expert testimony this week, leaving 20-30 years slightly ahead of no prison time. The disgraced Hollywood producer, central to the #MeToo movement, is currently incarcerated at Rikers Island serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while awaiting sentencing on a 2025 New York criminal sex act conviction that could add 5-25 years. A guilty verdict here might push totals into the 20-30 range, but acquittal, successful appeals—including a skeptical April California panel—or his age-74 health issues could enable release, fueling the tight race.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$913,202วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, where prosecutors are nearing the end of their case after Jessica Mann's cross-examination and PTSD expert testimony this week, leaving 20-30 years slightly ahead of no prison time. The disgraced Hollywood producer, central to the #MeToo movement, is currently incarcerated at Rikers Island serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while awaiting sentencing on a 2025 New York criminal sex act conviction that could add 5-25 years. A guilty verdict here might push totals into the 20-30 range, but acquittal, successful appeals—including a skeptical April California panel—or his age-74 health issues could enable release, fueling the tight race.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$913,202วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty in Harvey Weinstein's ongoing third New York rape retrial, where prosecutors are nearing the end of their case after Jessica Mann's cross-examination and PTSD expert testimony this week, leaving 20-30 years slightly ahead of no prison time. The disgraced Hollywood producer, central to the #MeToo movement, is currently incarcerated at Rikers Island serving a confirmed 16-year California rape sentence while awaiting sentencing on a 2025 New York criminal sex act conviction that could add 5-25 years. A guilty verdict here might push totals into the 20-30 range, but acquittal, successful appeals—including a skeptical April California panel—or his age-74 health issues could enable release, fueling the tight race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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