Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 35.8% slightly ahead of 20-30 years (30.8%), reflecting uncertainty from his third New York rape retrial that began April 14 after a 2025 mistrial on the charge. That prior retrial yielded a conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—now appealing, potentially adding years to his standing 16-year California rape sentence—while his original 23-year term was overturned in 2024. At 74 and in declining health, including recent hospitalizations, traders weigh compassionate release or time-served credits against prosecutors' push for consecutive terms in the #MeToo landmark cases. Key swing factor: the ongoing trial's verdict, due in weeks, amid persistent appeals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วเวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
เวลาติดคุกของฮาร์วีย์ไวน์สตีน?
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 35.6%
20-30 ปี 30.8%
10-20 years 18.4%
มากกว่า 30 ปี 12.0%
$845,015 ปริมาณ
$845,015 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
36%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
4%
5-10 years
7%
10-20 years
18%
20-30 ปี
31%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
12%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 35.6%
20-30 ปี 30.8%
10-20 years 18.4%
มากกว่า 30 ปี 12.0%
$845,015 ปริมาณ
$845,015 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2025
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
$319,373 ปริมาณ
36%
น้อยกว่า 5 ปี
$96,037 ปริมาณ
4%
5-10 years
$54,985 ปริมาณ
7%
10-20 years
$139,344 ปริมาณ
18%
20-30 ปี
$179,280 ปริมาณ
31%
มากกว่า 30 ปี
$55,997 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 35.8% slightly ahead of 20-30 years (30.8%), reflecting uncertainty from his third New York rape retrial that began April 14 after a 2025 mistrial on the charge. That prior retrial yielded a conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—now appealing, potentially adding years to his standing 16-year California rape sentence—while his original 23-year term was overturned in 2024. At 74 and in declining health, including recent hospitalizations, traders weigh compassionate release or time-served credits against prosecutors' push for consecutive terms in the #MeToo landmark cases. Key swing factor: the ongoing trial's verdict, due in weeks, amid persistent appeals.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$845,015วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 35.8% slightly ahead of 20-30 years (30.8%), reflecting uncertainty from his third New York rape retrial that began April 14 after a 2025 mistrial on the charge. That prior retrial yielded a conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—now appealing, potentially adding years to his standing 16-year California rape sentence—while his original 23-year term was overturned in 2024. At 74 and in declining health, including recent hospitalizations, traders weigh compassionate release or time-served credits against prosecutors' push for consecutive terms in the #MeToo landmark cases. Key swing factor: the ongoing trial's verdict, due in weeks, amid persistent appeals.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$845,015วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2025ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time remains tightly contested, with no prison time at 35.8% slightly ahead of 20-30 years (30.8%), reflecting uncertainty from his third New York rape retrial that began April 14 after a 2025 mistrial on the charge. That prior retrial yielded a conviction for first-degree criminal sexual act—now appealing, potentially adding years to his standing 16-year California rape sentence—while his original 23-year term was overturned in 2024. At 74 and in declining health, including recent hospitalizations, traders weigh compassionate release or time-served credits against prosecutors' push for consecutive terms in the #MeToo landmark cases. Key swing factor: the ongoing trial's verdict, due in weeks, amid persistent appeals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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