**Multiple candidates are competing in Louisiana’s 6th Congressional District jungle primary on November 3, 2026, with no one positioned to reach a majority.** The district uses a majority-vote system: any candidate exceeding 50% wins outright, while the top two advance to a December 12 runoff. Redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in *Louisiana v. Callais* shifted the seat into strongly Republican territory, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to retire. This produced a crowded field that includes several Republicans (Rick Edmonds, Blake Miguez, and others) and multiple Democrats (Chauna Banks, Patrick Forbes, Lindsay Garcia). An August 2026 poll showed the leading contenders in the low-to-mid teens with roughly 40% undecided, confirming vote fragmentation across parties. In this environment, historical patterns and the current candidate spread make an outright first-round majority unlikely. Traders therefore assign a 94.5% probability that the race proceeds to a runoff.