Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$616,424 ปริมาณ
$616,424 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
<40
Yes
40-64
No
65-89
No
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
<40 100.0%
40-64 <1%
65-89 <1%
90-114 <1%
$616,424 ปริมาณ
$616,424 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
<40
$183,273 ปริมาณ
Yes
40-64
$132,266 ปริมาณ
No
65-89
$134,839 ปริมาณ
No
90-114
$97,316 ปริมาณ
No
115-139
$34,192 ปริมาณ
No
140-164
$8,407 ปริมาณ
No
165-189
$10,602 ปริมาณ
No
190-214
$4,933 ปริมาณ
No
215-239
$6,268 ปริมาณ
No
240+
$4,328 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$616,424วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$616,424วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 16, 2026, 12:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Elon Musk’s X activity over the July 18-20 weekend sits in a tight contest between the sub-40 and 40-64 buckets, with market-implied odds at 43.5% and 39.5%. Traders weigh his baseline posting rhythm—shaped by Tesla and xAI updates, regulatory commentary, and real-time responses to news—against typical weekend moderation. Recent platform engagement trends and any late-breaking corporate or political developments could nudge volume upward, while lighter news cycles or shifts to other channels might keep totals low. The narrow spread reflects uncertainty around timing and external triggers that historically swing his output in short windows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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