Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 ปริมาณ
$3,484,769 ปริมาณ
Aug 14, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 ปริมาณ
$3,484,769 ปริมาณ
Aug 14, 2026
<20
$6,564 ปริมาณ
No
20-39
$4,245 ปริมาณ
No
40-59
$7,237 ปริมาณ
No
60-79
$31,347 ปริมาณ
No
80-99
$105,676 ปริมาณ
No
100-119
$283,000 ปริมาณ
No
120-139
$403,992 ปริมาณ
No
140-159
$349,013 ปริมาณ
No
160-179
$233,599 ปริมาณ
No
180-199
$432,489 ปริมาณ
Yes
200-219
$545,501 ปริมาณ
No
220-239
$300,289 ปริมาณ
No
240-259
$225,024 ปริมาณ
No
260-279
$117,661 ปริมาณ
No
280-299
$82,283 ปริมาณ
No
300-319
$78,462 ปริมาณ
No
320-339
$50,309 ปริมาณ
No
340-359
$51,158 ปริมาณ
No
360-379
$33,043 ปริมาณ
No
380-399
$35,175 ปริมาณ
No
400-419
$23,258 ปริมาณ
No
420-439
$19,423 ปริมาณ
No
440-459
$12,673 ปริมาณ
No
460-479
$10,346 ปริมาณ
No
480-499
$10,196 ปริมาณ
No
500+
$32,807 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,484,769วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,484,769วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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