Recent Middle East energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have lifted ECB staff inflation projections to 2.6% for 2026, prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% through April and signal a data-dependent approach prioritizing price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and analyst surveys now price in a hold or one-to-two modest hikes by year-end, reflecting upward revisions to core inflation amid resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. Trader consensus on no rate cut therefore tracks this sustained neutral-to-tighter path, though resolution of energy pressures or softer demand data could still reopen easing discussions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?
$28,063 ปริมาณ
$28,063 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$28,063 ปริมาณ
$28,063 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have lifted ECB staff inflation projections to 2.6% for 2026, prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% through April and signal a data-dependent approach prioritizing price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and analyst surveys now price in a hold or one-to-two modest hikes by year-end, reflecting upward revisions to core inflation amid resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. Trader consensus on no rate cut therefore tracks this sustained neutral-to-tighter path, though resolution of energy pressures or softer demand data could still reopen easing discussions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,063วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have lifted ECB staff inflation projections to 2.6% for 2026, prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% through April and signal a data-dependent approach prioritizing price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and analyst surveys now price in a hold or one-to-two modest hikes by year-end, reflecting upward revisions to core inflation amid resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. Trader consensus on no rate cut therefore tracks this sustained neutral-to-tighter path, though resolution of energy pressures or softer demand data could still reopen easing discussions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,063วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have lifted ECB staff inflation projections to 2.6% for 2026, prompting the Governing Council to hold the deposit facility rate at 2.00% through April and signal a data-dependent approach prioritizing price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and analyst surveys now price in a hold or one-to-two modest hikes by year-end, reflecting upward revisions to core inflation amid resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. Trader consensus on no rate cut therefore tracks this sustained neutral-to-tighter path, though resolution of energy pressures or softer demand data could still reopen easing discussions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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