Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, driven by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its April 30 meeting while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This hawkish stance, echoed in prior decisions on March 19 and February 5, has shifted market expectations toward potential rate hikes, with money markets pricing a 92% chance of a 25 basis point increase at the June 10 policy meeting. Traders' 87% consensus against a 2026 rate cut reflects sticky inflation above the 2% target and diminished disinflationary pressures, outweighing subdued growth risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB rate cut in 2026?
ECB rate cut in 2026?
$27,524 ปริมาณ
$27,524 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$27,524 ปริมาณ
$27,524 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, driven by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its April 30 meeting while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This hawkish stance, echoed in prior decisions on March 19 and February 5, has shifted market expectations toward potential rate hikes, with money markets pricing a 92% chance of a 25 basis point increase at the June 10 policy meeting. Traders' 87% consensus against a 2026 rate cut reflects sticky inflation above the 2% target and diminished disinflationary pressures, outweighing subdued growth risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,524วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, driven by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its April 30 meeting while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This hawkish stance, echoed in prior decisions on March 19 and February 5, has shifted market expectations toward potential rate hikes, with money markets pricing a 92% chance of a 25 basis point increase at the June 10 policy meeting. Traders' 87% consensus against a 2026 rate cut reflects sticky inflation above the 2% target and diminished disinflationary pressures, outweighing subdued growth risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,524วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 3.0% in April 2026 from 2.6% in March, driven by surging energy prices amid Middle East tensions, prompting the ECB Governing Council to hold key interest rates steady—including the deposit facility at 2%—at its April 30 meeting while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6%. This hawkish stance, echoed in prior decisions on March 19 and February 5, has shifted market expectations toward potential rate hikes, with money markets pricing a 92% chance of a 25 basis point increase at the June 10 policy meeting. Traders' 87% consensus against a 2026 rate cut reflects sticky inflation above the 2% target and diminished disinflationary pressures, outweighing subdued growth risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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