Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects elevated uncertainty in WTI crude oil (CL) pricing through June end, with front-month futures near $95/bbl amid a tug-of-war between supply risks and demand signals. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran's Strait of Hormuz disruptions and U.S.-Iran frictions, have sustained a risk premium, countering modest OPEC+ production hikes of ~188,000 bpd for June following the UAE's May 1 exit from the group. The latest EIA report (week ended May 1) showed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw—shallower than the anticipated 3.3 million—supporting prices after a recent dip. Key catalysts ahead include weekly API/EIA storage data, summer driving season demand ramp-up, and potential OPEC+ policy tweaks, with forecasts like EIA's 2Q26 Brent peak underscoring volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วน้ำมันดิบ (CL) จะถึง __ ภายในสิ้นเดือนมิถุนายนหรือไม่?
น้ำมันดิบ (CL) จะถึง __ ภายในสิ้นเดือนมิถุนายนหรือไม่?
$15,467,046 ปริมาณ
↑ $200
4%
↑ $175
7%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $140
18%
↑ $130
22%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $120
33%
↓ $60
9%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
25%
↓ $55
4%
↓ $52
3%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $35
1%
$15,467,046 ปริมาณ
↑ $200
4%
↑ $175
7%
↑ $150
14%
↑ $140
18%
↑ $130
22%
↑ $115
48%
↑ $120
33%
↓ $60
9%
↓ $80
60%
↓ $70
25%
↓ $55
4%
↓ $52
3%
↓ $40
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects elevated uncertainty in WTI crude oil (CL) pricing through June end, with front-month futures near $95/bbl amid a tug-of-war between supply risks and demand signals. Geopolitical tensions, including Iran's Strait of Hormuz disruptions and U.S.-Iran frictions, have sustained a risk premium, countering modest OPEC+ production hikes of ~188,000 bpd for June following the UAE's May 1 exit from the group. The latest EIA report (week ended May 1) showed a 2.3 million barrel inventory draw—shallower than the anticipated 3.3 million—supporting prices after a recent dip. Key catalysts ahead include weekly API/EIA storage data, summer driving season demand ramp-up, and potential OPEC+ policy tweaks, with forecasts like EIA's 2Q26 Brent peak underscoring volatility.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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