China's July 6, 2026, submarine-launched ballistic missile test from the South China Sea into the Pacific—its first such open-water SLBM demonstration with a dummy warhead—serves as the dominant recent development shaping trader views. Beijing described the roughly 7,300-kilometer flight as routine annual training notified in advance, though regional states including the United States, Australia, Japan, and New Zealand criticized the short-notice approach and trajectory. No subsequent public launches or escalatory signals have followed in the ensuing weeks. With no scheduled diplomatic summits, military exercises, or Taiwan Strait crises currently aligned to trigger additional tests before year-end, market pricing reflects the limited near-term catalysts for another ballistic missile launch under prevailing conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
19% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.China's July 6, 2026, submarine-launched ballistic missile test from the South China Sea into the Pacific—its first such open-water SLBM demonstration with a dummy warhead—serves as the dominant recent development shaping trader views. Beijing described the roughly 7,300-kilometer flight as routine annual training notified in advance, though regional states including the United States, Australia, Japan, and New Zealand criticized the short-notice approach and trajectory. No subsequent public launches or escalatory signals have followed in the ensuing weeks. With no scheduled diplomatic summits, military exercises, or Taiwan Strait crises currently aligned to trigger additional tests before year-end, market pricing reflects the limited near-term catalysts for another ballistic missile launch under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,888วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.China's July 6, 2026, submarine-launched ballistic missile test from the South China Sea into the Pacific—its first such open-water SLBM demonstration with a dummy warhead—serves as the dominant recent development shaping trader views. Beijing described the roughly 7,300-kilometer flight as routine annual training notified in advance, though regional states including the United States, Australia, Japan, and New Zealand criticized the short-notice approach and trajectory. No subsequent public launches or escalatory signals have followed in the ensuing weeks. With no scheduled diplomatic summits, military exercises, or Taiwan Strait crises currently aligned to trigger additional tests before year-end, market pricing reflects the limited near-term catalysts for another ballistic missile launch under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,888วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China's July 6, 2026, submarine-launched ballistic missile test from the South China Sea into the Pacific—its first such open-water SLBM demonstration with a dummy warhead—serves as the dominant recent development shaping trader views. Beijing described the roughly 7,300-kilometer flight as routine annual training notified in advance, though regional states including the United States, Australia, Japan, and New Zealand criticized the short-notice approach and trajectory. No subsequent public launches or escalatory signals have followed in the ensuing weeks. With no scheduled diplomatic summits, military exercises, or Taiwan Strait crises currently aligned to trigger additional tests before year-end, market pricing reflects the limited near-term catalysts for another ballistic missile launch under prevailing conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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