Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, buoyed by his razor-thin 2024 victory and proven overperformance in key areas like Merced, as noted by the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects this with Democrats at 62.5%, driven by Gray's fundraising edge, name recognition, and recent early ballot returns showing robust turnout among older voters, Democrats, and Latinos—who comprise a pivotal bloc in this Central Valley battleground. Republicans trail at 20.5% amid a crowded primary field featuring former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln (Trump-endorsed) and entrepreneur Vin Kruttiventi, raising risks of a vote split that could sideline the GOP from the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$805 ปริมาณ
72%
Republican Party
$1,315 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, buoyed by his razor-thin 2024 victory and proven overperformance in key areas like Merced, as noted by the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects this with Democrats at 62.5%, driven by Gray's fundraising edge, name recognition, and recent early ballot returns showing robust turnout among older voters, Democrats, and Latinos—who comprise a pivotal bloc in this Central Valley battleground. Republicans trail at 20.5% amid a crowded primary field featuring former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln (Trump-endorsed) and entrepreneur Vin Kruttiventi, raising risks of a vote split that could sideline the GOP from the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,120วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, buoyed by his razor-thin 2024 victory and proven overperformance in key areas like Merced, as noted by the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects this with Democrats at 62.5%, driven by Gray's fundraising edge, name recognition, and recent early ballot returns showing robust turnout among older voters, Democrats, and Latinos—who comprise a pivotal bloc in this Central Valley battleground. Republicans trail at 20.5% amid a crowded primary field featuring former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln (Trump-endorsed) and entrepreneur Vin Kruttiventi, raising risks of a vote split that could sideline the GOP from the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,120วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a strong position in California's 13th Congressional District ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, buoyed by his razor-thin 2024 victory and proven overperformance in key areas like Merced, as noted by the Cook Political Report. Trader consensus reflects this with Democrats at 62.5%, driven by Gray's fundraising edge, name recognition, and recent early ballot returns showing robust turnout among older voters, Democrats, and Latinos—who comprise a pivotal bloc in this Central Valley battleground. Republicans trail at 20.5% amid a crowded primary field featuring former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln (Trump-endorsed) and entrepreneur Vin Kruttiventi, raising risks of a vote split that could sideline the GOP from the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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