Incumbent Democrat Josh Harder's dominant position in California's 9th Congressional District, bolstered by post-redistricting boundaries favoring Democrats (Cook PVI D+8), massive fundraising ($3.95 million cash on hand), and a fragmented Republican primary field—Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas—explains trader consensus implying 92% odds for a Democratic win. Harder's narrow 2024 reelection (51.8%-48.2%) occurred in the prior map; the new configuration, overlapping 70% of the old district while adding Bay Area turf, shifted the Cook rating from Lean D to Solid D. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Harder is poised to advance easily alongside one Republican. Rare shifts could stem from a breakout GOP primary contender, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal, or health issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-09 House Election Winner
CA-09 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,896 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$2,590 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Harder's dominant position in California's 9th Congressional District, bolstered by post-redistricting boundaries favoring Democrats (Cook PVI D+8), massive fundraising ($3.95 million cash on hand), and a fragmented Republican primary field—Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas—explains trader consensus implying 92% odds for a Democratic win. Harder's narrow 2024 reelection (51.8%-48.2%) occurred in the prior map; the new configuration, overlapping 70% of the old district while adding Bay Area turf, shifted the Cook rating from Lean D to Solid D. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Harder is poised to advance easily alongside one Republican. Rare shifts could stem from a breakout GOP primary contender, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal, or health issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,486วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Harder's dominant position in California's 9th Congressional District, bolstered by post-redistricting boundaries favoring Democrats (Cook PVI D+8), massive fundraising ($3.95 million cash on hand), and a fragmented Republican primary field—Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas—explains trader consensus implying 92% odds for a Democratic win. Harder's narrow 2024 reelection (51.8%-48.2%) occurred in the prior map; the new configuration, overlapping 70% of the old district while adding Bay Area turf, shifted the Cook rating from Lean D to Solid D. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Harder is poised to advance easily alongside one Republican. Rare shifts could stem from a breakout GOP primary contender, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal, or health issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,486วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Harder's dominant position in California's 9th Congressional District, bolstered by post-redistricting boundaries favoring Democrats (Cook PVI D+8), massive fundraising ($3.95 million cash on hand), and a fragmented Republican primary field—Khalid Jeffrey Jafri, John McBride, Parminder Singh, and Martin Veprauskas—explains trader consensus implying 92% odds for a Democratic win. Harder's narrow 2024 reelection (51.8%-48.2%) occurred in the prior map; the new configuration, overlapping 70% of the old district while adding Bay Area turf, shifted the Cook rating from Lean D to Solid D. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Harder is poised to advance easily alongside one Republican. Rare shifts could stem from a breakout GOP primary contender, national midterm wave favoring Republicans, scandal, or health issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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